Market Commentary: Stocks Pause on Geopolitical Risk, Fed
Stocks fell three days in a row to end the holiday-shortened week but still managed to finish the week near flat thanks to Monday’s gains. Worries over the fallout from the Middle East conflict has traders on edge, while US economic data has been slowing some, and the Federal Reserve (“Fed” …
Facts Vs Feelings Take 5 – The Latest on the War in the Middle East
In the latest Take 5, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, address the mounting uncertainty surrounding the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, reflecting on how geopolitical turmoil historically affects markets. Despite short-term volatili …
Market Commentary: Stocks Pause on Geopolitical Risk but Underlying Dynamics Remain Positive
Holding Our Equity Forecast Steady The S&P 500 Index fell slightly last week after a late week retreat on escalating conflict in the Middle East. Despite a more than 20% gain in two months, down weeks have been normal off the lows with four of the last ten weeks seeing the index lower. …
Facts Vs Feelings Take 5 – When Will Inflation Heat Up?
In the latest Take 5, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, examine the recent narrative that inflation is about to spike again — and explain why the actual data says otherwise. While tariff concerns and headline warnings have investors on ed …
Market Commentary: S&P 500 Approaching All-Time High but US Economic Momentum Slowing
Inching Closer to New Highs Stocks had some drama last week as the president of the United States and the world’s richest man had a very public falling out, but that did little to slow down the bull market. The S&P 500 is now just a chip shot away from new highs, something that was …
Facts Vs Feelings Take 5 – What Could Trip Up the Bull
In the latest Take 5, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist chat about markets climbing sharply off April lows and discuss what could derail this bull run. From housing weakness to tariff uncertainty, they explore the real risks that could tri …
Market Commentary: Stocks Have a Very Merry Month of May
What a Month! At the start of the month investors were still battered from March and April volatility and uncertainty around trade and the economy. As we noted at the start of the month though, stocks were extremely oversold and any good news (which we expected) could spark a big rally. Sur …
Facts Vs Feelings Take 5 – You are the Smart Money
In the latest Take 5, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, challenge the conventional wisdom around who really qualifies as the “smart money.” While institutional investors have historically held that title, the hosts make a comp …
Market Commentary: Looking Back on a Near-Bear Market
The S&P 500 fell 2.6% last week, falling the last three days of the week heading into the long holiday weekend after climbing on Monday and Tuesday. Declines were primarily caused by a fresh round of tariff threats, including 50% on the European Union (delayed over the weekend to July 9 …
Market Commentary: Stocks Climb on Greater Clarity, but Rate Uncertainty Remains Elevated
What a week last week was, as the S&P 500 gained more than 3% on Monday after a 90-day pause in tariffs with China was announced. Incredibly, stocks gained the next four days as well. March 2003 was the last time we saw a Monday that strong, followed by the next four days green as …
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2025 Market Outlook Report
Will the bull market continue in 2025? What about a recession? What will the Fed do? We take a deep dive into our outlook for 2025 in Carson Investment Research’s Outlook ‘25: Animal Spirits.
